Episode 1168: Think Tank: Geopolitical risks threaten recovery of economy, chemicals
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A more optimistic outlook for the global economy and chemicals could be jeopardized by rising geopolitical instability. - Current downturn reminiscent of 1970’s oil shock - Global GDP growth could start to recover from 2025- Geo-political risks are rising and could jeopardise economy- Chemicals CEOs slightly more upbeat- PMIs show China manufacturing now expanding - But China challenged by debt, property bubble, youth unemployment, demographics- Expect 2-3%/year China GDP growth in 2030s as population declines- Europe economy is stabilising, driven by services- US economy should see a soft landing