EA - Resorting constantly to bets can be bad for optics, especially in the current situation by EdMathieu

Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Resorting constantly to bets can be bad for optics, especially in the current situation, published by EdMathieu on November 11, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum.I currently don't have time to write much more than a quick post on this; apologies if this feels like it's not fleshed out enough.I've seen many comments online (especially here and on Twitter) in the last few days about betting on the evolving FTX situation, as a way to force people to express certainty around their statements.For example, person A says something really strong about what happened, or the way the situation is going to evolve; and person B comes in and says "that seems exaggerated, are you willing to bet against me on that?".While I understand that betting, predictions, etc. are things the EA community relies on for clearer thinking and good epistemics, I would urge everyone to consider the optics of trivially making financial bets in a situation where many people are facing a possible loss of their personal savings.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.